To assess the solar resource or energy yield potential of a site, we model the solar resource/energy yield using best available information and methods. The resulting estimate is the P50 estimate, or in other words, the “best estimate”. P50 is essentially a statistical level of confidence suggesting that we expect to exceed the predicted solar resource/energy yield 50% of the time. However, ...
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The process of estimating solar radiation data uncertainty can be sometimes unclear. We've tried to summarise in 4 simple steps how model validation statistics can be used for determining uncertainty of model estimates for P75, P90, and other Pxx estimates.
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Just as there are horses for courses, different forecasting techniques are more suitable depending on the intended forecast lead time. Ground-based and satellite-based methods offer best forecast skill for forecast lead time of few hours ahead. Beyond that NWP models offer best forecast skill. A combination of models provides better forecast than any individual forecast model.
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It is widely accepted that high-standard pyranometers operated under rigorously controlled conditions are to be used for bankable performance assessment of photovoltaic (PV) power systems. Asset managers, O&M providers, and owners of PV portfolios are increasingly relying on satellite-derived solar resource data.
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On Monday 23 Feb 2015 at 16:00 UTC, Marcel Suri (Solargis) and Tom Hoff (Clean Power Research) present the use of weather satellite data to estimate the solar energy resource and availability and accuracy of derived data products.
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